Communist China’s economy deteriorating on several fronts
China’s economic momentum slowed broadly in November, with a marked weakening in consumer spending, adding pressure on Beijing to stabilize household and business demand in the world’s second-largest economy.
The numbers
China’s retail-sales growth slowed to its lowest level since 2022, while investment and the property market continued to deteriorate, according to data released Monday by China’s National Bureau of Statistics.
Retail sales: +1.3% in November from the prior year, down from +2.9% in OctoberIndustrial production: +4.8% in November from a year prior, down from +4.9% in OctoberFixed-asset investment: -2.6% in the January-to-November period compared with the same stretch in 2024, widening from -1.7% in the January-to-October periodProperty investment: -15.9% in the January-to-November period compared with the same stretch in 2024, widening from -14.7% in the January-to-October periodAverage home prices in 70 cities: -2.8% in November from a year prior, compared with -2.6% in OctoberUrban unemployment rate: 5.1% in November, unchanged from October
Earlier this month, China reported a record $1 trillion trade surplus for the first 11 months of the year, underscoring the country’s export dominance despite U.S. tariffs. Producer prices have also remained in negative territory for more than three years.
The context
China’s economic growth has defied expectations this year, but expansion has been driven in large part by strong exports, while other pockets of the economy, such as investment and the property market, have struggled.
Retail sales, a key gauge of consumer spending, have slowed in year-over-year terms for six consecutive months as of November, the longest streak of deceleration since 2020. A consumer-goods subsidy program rolled out last year pulled forward purchases, making it difficult to sustain the momentum now.
The investment pullback reported by China in recent months is among the worst declines recorded in the country’s history.
The head of the International Monetary Fund recently warned that China is too large to rely on exports for growth and that the country’s manufacturing dominance risks exacerbating global trade tensions. The IMF has urged Beijing to take greater action to shift its economy toward domestic consumption.
The outlook
China’s top leaders pledged to give priority to supporting domestic demand in 2026. Officials at the Central Economic Work Conference last week said that they would bolster consumption and boost household income, according to state-run Xinhua News Agency.
Authorities took note of falling investment in the country and vowed to stabilize investment with central government policy. Chinese leaders said they would encourage acquisitions of existing housing stock for affordable housing.
Still, policymakers in recommendations for the country’s next five-year plan continued to identify high-end technology, advanced manufacturing and industrial self-reliance as top priorities for China’s economy through the rest of the decade.
Hon Brian Scavo

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